Monday, September 04, 2006

Latest Fox News Poll Offers Little Good News For Republican-Led Congress

It seems most of the people have decided.

The latest Fox News Channel/Opinion Dynamics poll (conducted Aug. 29-30) found that Republicans face an uphill battle in this November's Congressional elections.

Democrats and Independents overwhelmingly disapprove of the way Congress has acted. Republicans are essentially split -- 43% approve, 40% disapprove, and 17% unsure.

But that doesn't mean that voters are certain to vote for Democratic Congressional candidates -- the lone silver lining for Republicans hoping to retain control of the House and Senate.

The poll asked:

Thinking ahead to this November’s elections, if the congressional election were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?

Democrats overwhelmingly favored Democrats and Republicans overwhelming favored Republicans -- hardly a surprise.

But among Independents, the numbers could be spun any number of ways. By a 40%-16% margin, Independents say they'd vote for Democrats. That's the good news. The bad news is that 44% of Independent voters are undecided.

As a result, Democrats have a 48%-32% advantage among all voters answering this question -- but 21% of all voters remain undecided.

In all likelihood, the undecided Independents will push the Democrats over 50%, and that could mean the Democrats will regain control of one or both Congressional houses. But plenty of football teams have come up short of the goal line.

Stay tuned.

4 Comments:

Anonymous Old and In the Way said...

Undecided...or unwilling to make a public stand? I think few are undecided at this point. Look for the majority to break with Democrats.

2:14 AM  
Anonymous Erika said...

The undecided independents don't scare or bind like the republicans do.

2:14 AM  
Anonymous beltanefauve said...

Typically, "Independents" or "Undecideds" tend to go with the challenger (in this case, the minority party), and often at the last minute. Also, there seems to be an anti-incumbent sentiment brewing out there.

2:15 AM  
Blogger thewaronterrible said...

Don't forget also that the voters favoring Democrats will likely turn out in massive record numbers, under the stark realization Democratic takeover of at least one of the congressional bodies is the last best chance to preserve our badly-damaged Democracy as well as the middle class.
The turnout will put Dems over the edge.
Many Republicans and independents on the other hand still leaning towards doubts of the Dems have a far greater tendency to stay home on election eve in a show of apathy or disgust.

10:21 AM  

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