Sunday, July 02, 2006

As Goes Missouri, So Goes The Nation? Increasing Numbers In "Show Me State" Unhappy With Republican Leadership

It's been said that "as goes Missouri, so goes the nation."

Missouri has traditionally been a solid Republican state, but the tide may be turning.

In 2004, President Bush won by seven points (up from three in 2000), while Sen. Kit Bond, a Republican, topped his opponent by 13.

But recent polls show Bush's approval rating is down to 39%, and that Sen. Jim Talent, a Republican up for re-election in November, is in a dogfight with his Democratic opponent, State Auditor Claire McCaskill.

Among McCaskill's arguments against Talent: "You've got a senator who pretty much does what the president tells him to do. He votes with President Bush 94% of the time," she told MSNBC's Chris Matthews.

Seems an increasing number of citizens in the "Show Me State" want to show the door to the current Republican leadership.


Elsewhere, take a look at these comments from a Missouri Congressional candidate:

"It is time for Republicans to stop being good Republicans and to start becoming good Americans. Good Americans do not have $400 billion dollar deficits, $8.5 trillion debts, and $800 billion trade imbalances. ... Good Americans surely do not squander lives and treasure nation-building under a false premise of national security, all the while, permitting an unsecured invasion of its southern border."

Some liberal hate-monger? Hardly. Turns out the author is Bernard Kennetz Jr., a Republican trying to unseat House Majority Whip Roy Blunt to represent the 7th District of Missouri.

Kennetz, an emergency room doctor and a veteran, may not have a realistic chance against Blunt, but his frankness about Missourians disappointment with the Republican leadership is not isolated.

Democrats would do well to check out a page from Kennetz's campaign website, comparing "Republican promises" and "Republican reality." If enough Republicans agree -- and polls suggest they do -- the GOP could be in serious trouble come November.


Anonymous anaveragepatriot said...

I hope this continues to be true! More power to Missouri! W must take our America back and I can only hope that enough people realize the damage Bush has done to us and the World. It will not end with his Presidency! we must get our America back though and do it one state at a time this fall.

11:42 AM  
Anonymous Donna said...

The only problem with your analysis, Dave -- and it's a good one in terms of traditional thinking -- is that the upcoming elections CANNOT by won by Democrats, for a variety of reasons.

In terms of the 2008 races, the main reason we will lose is this: the Voting Rights Act will not be renewed, and Republican operatives will be free to disenfranchise poor urban voters ALL OVER THE COUNTRY the same way they did with poor urban voters in Cincinnati in 2004.

A week or so ago the news came out that the GOP would not allow renewal of the VRA to come to the floor of the House, and the spin that the wingers put on it was that this was the work of a few vestigial Klan-type racists from the South.

But it was no such thing. It is a purposeful effort by mainstream GOP-ers to remove any meaningful legal obstacles to "dirty electoral tricks" of the type that caused Ohio to be counted in the Bush column in the last go-round.

There is no way the Dems can win in 2008 -- the game has been rigged aforehand. best, Donna

12:34 PM  
Blogger thewaronterrible said...

"There is no way the Dems can win in 2008."
I myself cannot accept such smug, fatalistic and hopeless nonsense.
If you are correct, we Dems might as well crawl under a rock.
For one, JABBS is, I think, talking about the 2006 mid-term elections, not 2008.
McCaskill (D) is engaging in a horserace with (R)Talent while a Republican Kennetz is using facts to badmouth his own party.
If these developments can happen even in a blood red state like Missouri, it may signify a broader movement across the country towards the Democrats.
Let's cross the mid-term bridge first and then worry about 2008.
I haven't really studied the latest developments with the Voting Rights Act, but I assume if the Dems can make significant gains in congress this November they can undue prior to the 2008 elections whatever damage the GOP has inflicted upon the VRA.
For now, the Democrats need to develop an effective midterm campaign, such as JABBS' idea of adapting Kennetz's Republican falsehood arguments.
The Dems also need to work on protections ensuring the sancity of the vote (i.e. a paper trail for Diebold machines), and stop Republican efforts like those of Blackwell in Ohio to stifle the minority vote.
Let's keep the argument focused on how the Dems can win, not on how they can lose.

5:49 PM  
Anonymous Dusty said...

I have a very interesting poll that was conducted this silly season(election)
that includes voters in Missouri and their thoughts..I can't wait to show

11:13 PM  
Anonymous anaveragepatriot said...

Hi Dusty,

Okay, I'll bite! I'm curious! I'm from Ma but you can show me! Just what are they thinking there?

11:13 PM  
Anonymous Sandy said...

Republicans will again win a landslide victory.

You will never win.

Americans are too smart to vote for your baby-killing, homosexual-supporting,
weak agenda.

11:15 PM  
Anonymous anaveragepatriot said...

Grow up Sandy

Stop the childish Bush speak and make believe you are an adult and also that you have a few brains unlike Bush.

11:15 PM  
Anonymous alias: "cutiepie" johnson said...

Sandy has a right to his/her opinion.

I don't know what his/her definition is of "landslide victory." Bush won with 51% of the vote in 2004 and had a minority of votes in 2000.

So I guess Sandy is expecting Republicans to defy the polls, and somehow muster what, 55% of the votes this November? 60%? Pick up a dozen seats in the House and a handful in the Senate?

He/she is going out on quite a limb, I think.

11:18 PM  
Anonymous Toots said...

Maybe the Democrats should pay attention to the way it is done.

Every Democrat should be saying exactly the same thing. Time to be good Americans instead of good Republicans...

10:59 AM  
Anonymous MadHound said...

Well, first off, I would have to argue with the contention that Missouri is conservative. Yes, it went for Bushco in '00 and '04, however lost in the uproar caused by voter fraud in Florida and Ohio respectively was the story of voter fraud in Missouri, specifically in the three liberal bastions of St. Louis, Columbia and Kansas City. Too long a story to go into here, suffice it to say that there were some very strange untold stories coming out of those three areas, ballots lost, insufficient voting machines, the usual panalopy of voting problems that we've all come all too familiar with.

That being said, Missouri is definitively going Democratic in '06 and '08, for one very good reason, anger at our current govenor. Matt Blunt, the son of Roy, has screwed this state over so badly that everybody including the die hard conservatives are going to vote him out of office in '08. However this anger is already producing results for '06. Claire McCaskill enjoys a nice cushion over Jim Talent in the Senate race, and entrenched Republicans are already getting their ass kicked in state races.

So, unless the election is stolen again, which is a very distinct possiblity both here in Missouri and nationwide, I'm predicting that Missouri will be solidly in the blue for both '06 and '08. For despite the outcome of the past two elections, Missouri is very much a centerist state, not a conservative one. And like any centerist state, it swings first one way, then the other. The pendulum is moving left right now, and as has been the case for decades now, as goes Missouri, so goes the nation.

11:00 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

what are dems DOING to prevent election fraud in MO? What ACTION is being taken?

got any examples, or is it just more democratic party mumbo jumbo?


11:00 AM  
Anonymous MadHound said...

Let's see here Democratic Sec of State is doing thorough investigation(Robin Carnahan, daughter of Mel), and I believe that Dem Attny Gen is filing suit over e voting machines. In fact I think that there are a couple of suits in the pipeline.

Many counties have resisted e voting, most are opting for optical scan machines.

11:00 AM  

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